President Palin? 1-in-7 Odds

Say what you will about Sarah Palin's performance in the vice-presidential debate last night. She did better than I expected. Of course, I expected her to spit up on herself, doggone it. She was evasive, uninformed, and out of her depth, but blustered through what had to be a terrifying evening for her.

The bottom line, though, is that she showed none of the gravitas we expect in our top-tier national leaders. She was cute and folksy, but persuaded few people she's ready to take the 3:00 a.m. phone call.

Her partisans argue, of course, that it doesn't matter. She's auditioning for the job of Vice President, after all, and the level of scrutiny does not have to be as high as with the presidency. That may be true, but not with the oldest person ever to run for a first term as president on her ticket.

Here's something interesting: according to the Social Security Administration's actuarial tables, the changes that John McCain will die during his first term in office are 1-in-7. That's the odds that your birthday this year will be on a Friday.

Feeling better about Palin?